https://medium.com/discourse/a-stalled-offensive-in-ukraine-5bff05b30d07 Sorry, I misspelled his name. It is Alexander Ziperovich. This is the link. I must admit, he talks about raw numbers more than the actual battlefield dynamics and motivations of the parties. It does seem rather uninformed. But I thought I would give you an opportunity to respond to what he is saying.
There is one other thing that also is a question in the back of my mind. I find it hard to believe that the defense department and/or the CIA does not have humint on the ground to either observe what’s going on or who have confidential sources of information to help in properly analyzing the raw data. If you and I can get the qualitative information that affects our conclusions, wouldn’t this be something that the military powers that be also have access to, and take into account in expressing their opinions?